0xc01f3fdfd523bc62a7a251b3ce3c784f335b19a1
0xc01f3fdfd523bc62a7a251b3ce3c784f335b19a1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.75
- Volume
- $157.40
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $74.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.921 | $19.90 | −$0.84 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.915 | $17.24 | −$0.96 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.934 | $9.63 | −$0.37 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.943 | $9.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.350 | $8.33 | −$1.67 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? · No | 0.910 | 0.505 | $5.05 | −$4.05 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.946 | $5.05 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.965Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 10, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.975Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 11?
- +$-4.03at 0.864Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 17:48 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 17:22 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 17:21 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 17:14 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $5.20 |
| 10-11 17:10 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $6.04 |
| 10-11 14:33 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.96 |
| 10-11 14:17 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $9.99 |
| 10-11 13:42 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-11 13:42 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-11 13:05 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.99 |
| 10-11 11:59 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.36 |
| 10-11 11:58 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.85 |
| 10-11 11:58 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.99 |
| 10-11 11:54 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $0.76 |
| 10-11 08:50 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.99 |