PolyBot

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Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-08
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.027 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.037 to 0.072. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0453030
0.0502050
0.055145195
0.05664259
0.067275534
0.068100634
0.89717651
0.89878730
0.90021751
0.96524775
0.96640815
0.9671,0001,815

Spread0.008Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0371515
0.030166181
0.02920201
0.02665266
0.007320586
0.0037593
0.0021,0491,642
0.0015,0576,699

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9631515
0.970166181
0.97120201
0.97465266
0.993320586
0.9977593
0.9981,0491,642
0.9995,0576,699

Spread0.008Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9553030
0.9502050
0.945145195
0.94464259
0.933275534
0.932100634
0.10317651
0.10278730
0.10021751
0.03524775
0.03440815
0.0331,0001,815

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
chessplayerYes150
thecaricatureYes150
Dr.PNLYes124.12
misha-d1Yes52
VonVonaghYes50
AJSVYes43.93
Numitus1994Yes24.43
2B9SYes20
romanew-7-spread05Yes17.44
slobodNo291.98
balabalababalabalaNo274.93
SlowroastedNo50
0xf51b…ca1bNo15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:56:33SELLYes0.03710$0.37
00:44:22BUYNo0.9625$24.00
19:12:27SELLYes0.0457520$0.92
19:11:07BUYNo0.949882352951$48.44
11:05:18BUYNo0.94925$23.72
00:52:52SELLNo0.9183$2.46
00:52:48SELLNo0.9330$27.90
04:17:31BUYNo0.9450$47.00
12:11:01SELLYes0.06720$1.34
06:45:27SELLYes0.0688$0.54
19:48:03SELLYes0.07220$1.44
01:34:13SELLNo0.909303854263$56.86
01:19:42BUYNo0.914522954141$129.29
11:31:25SELLNo0.9714375160$155.43
07:01:57SELLYes0.01520$0.30
05:58:00SELLYes0.01520$0.30
05:55:48SELLYes0.01520$0.30
03:15:39SELLYes0.015508474659$0.92
02:34:12SELLYes0.0202100$2.02
02:29:49BUYNo0.9695631481435$421.69
00:07:30SELLYes0.0320$0.60
00:07:12SELLYes0.0320$0.60
00:07:03BUYNo0.96261$250.70
22:43:16SELLYes0.0420$0.80
22:39:46SELLYes0.0520$1.00