PolyBot

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Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-08
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.05. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.04 to 0.07. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.064040
0.08373413
0.696419
0.7023442
0.7128470
0.7250520
0.9120540
0.97370910
0.983,0003,910
0.9953,915

Spread0.02Mid0.05

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04102102
0.0320122
0.02143265
0.01405670

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96102102
0.9720122
0.98143265
0.99405670

Spread0.02Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.944040
0.92373413
0.316419
0.3023442
0.2928470
0.2850520
0.0920540
0.03370910
0.023,0003,910
0.0153,915

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AMAM13Yes171
misha-d1Yes130
thecaricatureYes100
Numitus1994Yes82
2B9SYes70
AJSVYes48
gcjamesYes40
FarlightYes20
pinnerYes20
Dr.PNLYes4
balabalababalabalaNo645
InterestingUserNo40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:04:06BUYYes0.0428$1.12
03:50:54SELLYes0.0638$2.28
03:50:33SELLYes0.1110$1.10
17:51:34SELLYes0.0840$3.20
11:31:51SELLNo0.94196$184.24
02:37:13SELLYes0.0350$1.50
02:35:45SELLYes0.0320$0.60
02:35:06SELLYes0.0420$0.80
02:35:03SELLYes0.047100$4.70
02:21:01SELLYes0.0566$3.30
02:20:46SELLYes0.0520$1.00
02:20:39SELLYes0.06135$8.10
02:20:36BUYNo0.9267300832841$779.38
23:57:07BUYYes0.0921$1.89
22:14:30BUYNo0.8840$35.20
20:44:40BUYYes0.1520$3.00