PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Farlight

0x0e338b48e77a273b0540f008dc010097ab487dee

Realised P&L
$-426.95
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$25.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1940.174$6.30$0.70
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1570.080$6.08$5.92
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2300.185$4.02$0.98
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes0.1700.084$2.52$2.58
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.1600.080$1.60$1.60
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.064$1.28+$0.28
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.058$1.15$0.45
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.050$1.00$1.40
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.3030.029$0.59$5.47
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.2000.019$0.38$3.62
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2200.005$0.11$4.29
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.020$0.02$0.07
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$7.00
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$5.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:04Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1939999958$7.00
09-18 15:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-16 15:39Will Rocket Baguette Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.053$1.59
09-15 23:11Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0489999994$2.00
09-15 23:10Will Kaitlyn Christian qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?SELL0.235505$4.71
09-15 20:23OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?SELL0.17$3.40
09-14 22:35Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.16$4.80
09-14 20:52Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.24$4.80
09-14 20:45Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in September?SELL0.27$2.70
09-14 20:42Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?SELL0.45$9.00
09-14 17:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$3.50
09-14 17:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-04 11:59Over $15M committed to the Ethos public sale?BUY0.0779999478$1.30
08-28 12:10Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.28$5.60
08-28 11:31Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.217$3.21