PolyBot

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Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.044. down 0.186 over the period, from 0.230. Range 0.033 to 0.255. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.078120120
0.079100220
0.087100320
0.12019339
0.4365344
0.43718362
0.43816378
0.440100478
0.4505483
0.590435918
0.9105923
0.9671,0001,923

Spread0.068Mid0.044

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010120120
0.00357177
0.002210387
0.0015,0845,471

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990120120
0.99757177
0.998210387
0.9995,0845,471

Spread0.068Mid0.956

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.922120120
0.921100220
0.913100320
0.88019339
0.5645344
0.56318362
0.56216378
0.560100478
0.5505483
0.410435918
0.0905923
0.0331,0001,923

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes118
xtxpleasecallmeYes59.51
dangtruong1991Yes24.99
nagibator01Yes20
esssbootYes18.84
0x4629…f3b1Yes2.02
BeeYouYes1.97
rubby1337Yes1.57
0x5533…51baYes1.05
0xab80…af18No84.3
buyat89No61.67
KiruaTradingNo60
JvillelavNo33.71
DowJones2No5.8
pootytherewardfarmerNo1.43
0x28FE738c879c306e2963611739EA78C6429308f0-1766321506921No1.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:05:24BUYYes0.066$0.35
19:11:45BUYNo0.951$1.00
09:54:57SELLYes0.0720$1.40
09:54:46BUYNo0.91999998022$1.86
09:54:45BUYNo0.91120$18.22
09:54:45SELLYes0.0922$1.98
09:54:10BUYNo0.9160$54.60
09:54:10BUYNo0.9138$34.58
07:59:15SELLNo0.861$0.50
07:59:15SELLYes0.0920$1.80
07:59:15BUYNo0.919$17.48
07:59:15BUYNo0.97$5.93
07:59:13BUYNo0.896$5.73
07:59:13BUYNo0.896649446514$12.15
07:59:13BUYNo0.913$12.06
07:59:13BUYNo0.8940$35.60
07:59:13BUYNo0.8920$17.80
07:59:13BUYNo0.8920$17.80
07:59:13BUYNo0.889999995614$12.06
07:59:13BUYNo0.889999999284$75.03
07:59:13BUYNo0.88999999920$18.00
07:59:13BUYNo0.88999999920$18.00
06:31:37SELLNo0.851$1.24
06:31:36BUYYes0.1420$2.80
06:31:36BUYYes0.120681000621$2.59