PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jvillelav

0x510452f62130e8490fc5db4352b2d481d5c4afb9

Realised P&L
$59.97
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$39.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? · No0.8900.956$32.22+$2.22
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election? · Yes0.8600.793$2.77−$0.23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6800.565$2.49−$0.51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.785$1.25+$0.25
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3800.051$0.66−$4.34
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.036$0.51−$2.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.4370.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Trump say "Lindsey" 5+ times during Tele-Rally? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8490.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Trump say "Honor" during Tele-Rally? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier · Aleksandar Vukic0.9100.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Trump say "Tariff" during his Executive Order signing? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 21:20Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?BUY0.8899999979$30.00
10-07 03:26Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)BUY0.9199999963$10.00
10-07 03:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8489999867$50.00
09-08 13:42Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.984$5.00
09-06 15:37Çorum FK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5BUY0.9$3.00
09-06 15:36Odense BK vs. FC København: O/U 4.5BUY0.9029999786$3.00
09-06 14:39Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza end in a draw?BUY0.63$1.00
09-05 19:30Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
09-05 19:29Will PSV win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-05 14:40Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?BUY0.9499999715$10.00
09-05 14:40Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.9649999942$5.00
09-05 12:51Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.7$1.00
09-05 12:51Will Southampton FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.75$1.00
09-05 12:49Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
09-02 12:19Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999489$3.00