Jvillelav
0x510452f62130e8490fc5db4352b2d481d5c4afb9
- Realised P&L
- $59.97
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $39.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.78at 0.056U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$51.99at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$9.87at 0.422Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
- +$9.47at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$8.73at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:20 | Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 03:26 | Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 03:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8489999867 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 13:42 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:37 | Çorum FK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 15:36 | Odense BK vs. FC København: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9029999786 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 14:39 | Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:30 | Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:29 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 14:40 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.9499999715 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 14:40 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.9649999942 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 12:51 | Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 12:51 | Will Southampton FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 12:49 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 12:19 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |