0xab808c7843f0aa810d998ec14b7b81b7d010af18
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $51.2k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $307.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$466.73at 0.416Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
- +$327.21at 0.505Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$218.28at 0.200Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$193.90at 0.421 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$173.67at 0.389 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:42 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | SELL | 0.41 | $18.45 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | SELL | 0.42545 | $25.53 |
| 08-02 18:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.14095 | $14.09 |
| 08-02 06:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $66.50 |
| 08-02 06:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.9701538462 | $63.06 |
| 07-31 06:12 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July? | SELL | 0.26 | $71.06 |
| 07-28 21:47 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | SELL | 0.4708404878 | $96.52 |
| 07-28 06:12 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.1698855082 | $28.03 |
| 07-27 06:21 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June? | SELL | 0.2696989448 | $34.76 |
| 07-27 06:21 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June? | SELL | 0.23 | $69.00 |
| 07-27 06:20 | Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.9933025455 | $109.26 |
| 07-26 06:28 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July? | BUY | 0.89 | $129.94 |
| 07-26 06:27 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m? | SELL | 0.998 | $94.81 |
| 07-25 18:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | SELL | 0.5926984127 | $37.34 |
| 07-25 13:15 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | BUY | 0.0603473333 | $18.10 |