PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xab808c7843f0aa810d998ec14b7b81b7d010af18

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$51.2k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$307.58

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July? · No0.8900.984$143.59+$13.65
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · No0.1410.740$74.00+$59.91
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6150.705$40.16+$5.10
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? · Yes0.1470.115$36.80$10.36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · No0.3540.305$10.67$1.72
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.4400.030$3.00$41.00
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m? · Yes0.1500.192$0.31+$0.07
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$18.10
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$34.67
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$168.06
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June? · No0.3830.000$0.00$32.97
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$18.00
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.8520.000$0.00$40.04
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$54.40
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:42Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?SELL0.41$18.45
08-03 03:10Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?SELL0.42545$25.53
08-02 18:39Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.14095$14.09
08-02 06:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.95$66.50
08-02 06:09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.9701538462$63.06
07-31 06:12Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?SELL0.26$71.06
07-28 21:47Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?SELL0.4708404878$96.52
07-28 06:12Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?SELL0.1698855082$28.03
07-27 06:21Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?SELL0.2696989448$34.76
07-27 06:21Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?SELL0.23$69.00
07-27 06:20Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.9933025455$109.26
07-26 06:28Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July?BUY0.89$129.94
07-26 06:27Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?SELL0.998$94.81
07-25 18:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?SELL0.5926984127$37.34
07-25 13:15Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?BUY0.0603473333$18.10