PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-04
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.16 to 0.56. 56 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.54138138
0.5510149
0.7840189
0.8030219
0.875224
0.8940264
0.9511275
0.9610285
0.97100385
0.98110495
0.9950545

Spread0.30Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.246161
0.2350111
0.2021132
0.1920152
0.1620172
0.1540212
0.1330242
0.1240282
0.0510292
0.045297
0.035302
0.0240342

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.766161
0.7750111
0.8021132
0.8120152
0.8420172
0.8540212
0.8730242
0.8840282
0.9510292
0.965297
0.975302
0.9840342

Spread0.30Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.46138138
0.4510149
0.2240189
0.2030219
0.135224
0.1140264
0.0511275
0.0410285
0.03100385
0.02110495
0.0150545

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xE8C6C48e73811aEB5340998ca00662eb696Bf7F6-1783025466960Yes226.08
xtxpleasecallmeYes109.92
gfdgfvfvssddYes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes13.1
spxtestNo192.89
needleladderNo60.97
0x3ff7…2fa2No34.89
hfvNo20.24
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No20
tradetosurvive1No20
0x7b84Bd1a12AAc89CDe361a09a3176BE7ecB9a108-1773318878799No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:52:40BUYNo0.555$2.75
07:51:33BUYNo0.455$2.25
02:09:48BUYNo0.5911$6.49
00:07:52BUYNo0.4620$9.20
00:06:16BUYYes0.23540$9.40
22:14:04SELLYes0.220$4.00
21:53:09BUYNo0.7520$15.00
21:52:39SELLNo0.7320$14.60
21:51:42BUYYes0.24161$38.71
21:51:42BUYYes0.2520$5.00
18:43:09SELLNo0.7410$7.40
18:43:04BUYYes0.2510$2.50
18:43:04SELLNo0.7630$22.80
18:11:43BUYNo0.7920$15.80
18:10:34BUYYes0.1836572697252$46.32
18:10:33BUYYes0.2120$4.20
18:07:10SELLYes0.1420$2.80
16:13:10BUYYes0.259$11.80
16:12:31SELLNo0.841$32.80
16:12:16BUYYes0.179999985611$2.00
16:11:40BUYYes0.167676767799$16.60
16:11:16BUYNo0.7821$16.38
16:10:55BUYYes0.220$4.00
16:09:34BUYNo0.821$16.80
16:09:25BUYNo0.710389479395$280.89