FluxCapacitor88
0xb5a0e302f3cccb48729fb4c158efee4b1fbc60c3
- Realised P&L
- $-27.2k
- Volume
- $4.42M
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $607.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.111Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$2.0kat 0.136Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$1.7kat 0.307Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$359.63at 0.601Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$151.00at 0.790Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:07 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0068002796 | $34.05 |
| 09-10 14:06 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $9.04 |
| 09-10 14:06 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $54.10 |
| 09-10 14:05 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $29.99 |
| 09-10 14:02 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $105.68 |
| 09-10 14:02 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $40.21 |
| 09-10 14:01 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.14 |
| 09-10 14:00 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $170.12 |
| 09-10 13:59 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $19.20 |
| 09-10 13:58 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $64.73 |
| 08-15 02:45 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $9.81 |
| 08-07 00:03 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $24.00 |
| 08-07 00:02 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $19.70 |
| 08-07 00:02 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $22.79 |
| 08-05 07:19 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.005999827 | $60.00 |