Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-15

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.042. down 0.458 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.015 to 0.500. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.074	12	12
0.075	5	17
0.494	105	122
0.495	70	192
0.502	50	242
0.734	90	332
0.735	150	482
0.736	100	582
0.740	46	628
0.940	400	1,028
0.941	28	1,055
0.950	10	1,065

Spread0.064Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	11	11
0.002	60	71
0.001	5,215	5,286

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	11	11
0.998	60	71
0.999	5,215	5,286

Spread0.064Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.926	12	12
0.925	5	17
0.506	105	122
0.505	70	192
0.498	50	242
0.266	90	332
0.265	150	482
0.264	100	582
0.260	46	628
0.060	400	1,028
0.059	28	1,055
0.050	10	1,065

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	53.39
wendywu1	Yes	46.72
LornaPredicts	Yes	33.94
socksgreen3	Yes	11.53
0xf51b…ca1b	Yes	5
bjprolo	Yes	4.22
WeatherHK2	No	78.39
0x6b61…bf25	No	46.72
simo53	No	15.34
0x4560…d361	No	8.17
0x84e75160A041492461E8422b2d13132D387e73c4-1774573484548	No	3.86
trrr12	No	1.22
0x0036…84bc	No	1.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:25:20	BUY	No	0.99	1	$1.00
07:25:20	BUY	No	0.99	1	$1.09
07:25:20	BUY	No	0.99	1	$1.09
07:25:20	BUY	No	0.99	1	$1.00
07:25:18	BUY	Yes	0.02	5	$0.10
01:21:26	BUY	Yes	0.03	47	$1.40
01:17:18	BUY	No	0.98	3	$2.79
01:17:18	BUY	No	0.98	7	$6.93
01:17:18	BUY	No	0.9728051278	14	$13.94
01:17:18	BUY	No	0.9699999836	1	$1.18
01:17:18	BUY	No	0.95	73	$69.72