0x003624fe31b9ef1f2b19fcd6ad47f9ef898284bc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.68
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $68.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.30at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 6?
- +$0.71at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?
- +$0.35at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?
- +$-1.17at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7?
- +$-1.98at 0.355Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9792405772 | $2.45 |
| 08-05 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3699998918 | $1.06 |
| 08-05 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3499998349 | $1.06 |
| 08-05 10:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7299999732 | $1.09 |
| 08-05 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.02 |
| 08-05 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.26 | $8.85 |
| 08-05 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4499999159 | $1.07 |
| 08-05 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.39 |
| 08-05 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4899998718 | $1.07 |
| 08-05 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.429999787 | $1.07 |
| 08-05 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3577777778 | $9.66 |
| 08-05 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0899999256 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.03 |
| 08-05 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.21 |