0x84e75160A041492461E8422b2d13132D387e73c4-1774573484548
0x84e75160a041492461e8422b2d13132d387e73c4
- Realised P&L
- $-45.76
- Volume
- $57.1k
- Markets traded
- 517
- Open portfolio
- $19.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded517
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $14.11 | +$0.09 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.990 | $4.40 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.71 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.51at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 1?
- +$160.81at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
- +$127.71at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
- +$99.54at 0.055Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?
- +$82.44at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.58 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.69 |
| 09-17 21:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.73 |
| 09-17 21:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.97 |
| 09-17 21:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.96 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.37 |
| 09-17 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.41 |
| 09-17 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.5199999567 | $1.44 |
| 09-17 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0829999994 | $1.40 |