PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WeatherHK2

0xdadbf9e1df1b8d7a184a0d6ab9c83b2337b61870

Realised P&L
$32.8k
Volume
$1.78M
Markets traded
1,493
Open portfolio
$70.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,493
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.5089795918$24.94
09-17 15:30Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.998$54.98
09-17 03:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.98$7.84
09-16 14:32Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.98$49.00
09-12 00:44Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 12?SELL0.01$1.06
09-11 14:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?SELL0.1205420054$44.48
09-11 10:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on September 12?BUY0.999$5.00
09-11 09:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 13?BUY0.998$29.94
09-11 09:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13?BUY0.998$29.94
09-11 09:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?BUY0.998$29.94
09-10 23:08Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11?BUY0.96$96.00
09-10 15:09Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 10?BUY0.16$4.78
09-10 14:35Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 10?SELL0.2$20.00
09-10 13:45Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 10?BUY0.058015873$2.63
09-10 06:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?BUY0.3$2.63