simo53
0xda07719bd1fc8594b82031f196ea5139740c62a0
- Realised P&L
- $-26.77
- Volume
- $115.8k
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.87at 0.307Vancouver: James Kent Trotter vs Tyler Zink
- +$226.61at 0.527Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov
- +$220.83at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?
- +$216.67at 0.480Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?
- +$216.60at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 05:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.58 |
| 08-03 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.38 |
| 08-03 04:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3177637131 | $37.66 |
| 08-03 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.45 |
| 08-03 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.18 |
| 08-03 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.998 | $18.16 |
| 08-03 01:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8502058824 | $8.67 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3699999894 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.81 |
| 08-02 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $209.34 |
| 08-02 23:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.55 |