PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

simo53

0xda07719bd1fc8594b82031f196ea5139740c62a0

Realised P&L
$-26.77
Volume
$115.8k
Markets traded
543
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded543
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula0.7030.805$313.25+$39.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? · Yes0.4471.000$245.95+$135.96
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? · Yes0.4100.445$164.58+$12.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? · Yes0.3400.455$143.71+$36.40
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.3540.455$128.81+$28.49
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean · Magdalena Frech0.6960.555$116.08$29.51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3? · No0.9901.000$69.71+$0.66
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes0.6750.665$58.61$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.1900.140$57.34$20.29
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic · Lois Boisson0.6330.725$50.84+$6.47
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? · Yes0.3180.415$49.18+$11.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.1300.660$45.01+$36.15
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges0.6380.755$37.92+$5.85
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Aleksandar Kovacevic0.4960.245$37.28$38.17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.1200.510$37.28+$28.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:44Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.3$0.04
08-03 05:43Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3?SELL0.94$9.58
08-03 05:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?SELL0.024$0.38
08-03 04:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.3177637131$37.66
08-03 04:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.1$1.00
08-03 04:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.1$1.00
08-03 03:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.06$0.45
08-03 02:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?SELL0.999$18.18
08-03 02:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?SELL0.998$18.16
08-03 01:06Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.8502058824$8.67
08-03 01:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.1$1.00
08-03 00:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.3699999894$15.00
08-03 00:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?SELL0.999$54.81
08-02 23:44Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?SELL0.999$209.34
08-02 23:23Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.999$60.55