PolyBot

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Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-30
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.65. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.70. Range 0.59 to 0.81. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.708484
0.78100184
0.845189
0.8520209
0.8630239
0.9021260
0.9617278
0.9725303
0.9825328
0.9911338

Spread0.10Mid0.65

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60172172
0.5980252
0.5189340
0.50100440
0.186446
0.1440486
0.12475961
0.111001,061
0.10211,082
0.0781,090
0.06751,165
0.01231,188

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40172172
0.4180252
0.4989340
0.50100440
0.826446
0.8640486
0.88475961
0.891001,061
0.90211,082
0.9381,090
0.94751,165
0.99231,188

Spread0.10Mid0.35

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.308484
0.22100184
0.165189
0.1520209
0.1430239
0.1021260
0.0417278
0.0325303
0.0225328
0.0111338

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
molodoyyYes220
mehanizatorYes181.39
AJSVYes115.93
ImSweatingYes60
GuyFromTinderYes9.68
OlcanNo295.34
pootytherewardfarmerNo82
parameter1No59.98
tradetosurvive1No35
PPMTNo30
youtube-traderNo29.98
UpTheStairsNo20
0xa578…6702No20
james7rjames7rNo9.68
winexecutescaleNo3.17
rubby1337No1.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:20:00SELLNo0.3630$10.80
13:19:55SELLNo0.353$1.00
13:19:54SELLNo0.3730$11.10
13:10:55BUYNo0.34999998253$1.00
13:10:52BUYNo0.3330$9.90
10:08:54BUYNo0.2740$10.80
22:05:41BUYYes0.6842$28.74
20:54:35BUYNo0.309999979310$3.00
15:32:12BUYYes0.669999994355$36.65
14:51:02BUYYes0.6638$25.04
14:38:15SELLNo0.3620$7.20
14:38:09SELLNo0.3638$13.71
14:37:32BUYNo0.333$0.99
09:51:32BUYYes0.719576666760$43.17
09:50:51SELLNo0.2920$5.80
04:45:56SELLYes0.6720$13.40
04:33:38BUYNo0.282298850687$24.56
02:10:02BUYYes0.7350$36.38
16:22:23SELLNo0.3230$9.60
16:21:26BUYNo0.2630$7.80
16:21:20BUYNo0.23450$11.70
16:20:29SELLNo0.3752605386273$102.55
14:36:32SELLNo0.422$8.73
14:01:49SELLNo0.420$8.00
09:19:12SELLYes0.620$12.00