james7rjames7r
0x8692b0229f9747922318c949244e50e5e880f6c8
- Realised P&L
- $-290.74
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $45.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.84at 0.388US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$170.41at 0.520US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$6.83at 0.616Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.27at 0.740Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$4.79at 0.780S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:54 | Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 20:51 | Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:49 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 20:49 | Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 20:48 | Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 20:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999949 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.153999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 20:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 11:48 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 11:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:36 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.40 |