PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

james7rjames7r

0x8692b0229f9747922318c949244e50e5e880f6c8

Realised P&L
$-290.74
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$45.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes0.7100.665$11.24−$0.76
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2700.390$8.67+$2.67
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7200.720$7.00+$0.00
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? · No0.3100.350$3.39+$0.39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2700.270$2.00+$0.00
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3500.350$2.00+$0.00
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5200.495$1.90−$0.10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.6200.575$1.85−$0.15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.1540.227$1.47+$0.47
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.980$1.15+$0.15
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.655$0.99−$0.01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0400.032$0.80−$0.20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5300.420$0.79−$0.21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4800.155$0.65−$1.35
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0600.018$0.60−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 20:54Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3099999793$3.00
10-08 20:51Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-08 20:49Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
10-08 20:49Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7199999424$7.00
10-08 20:48Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
10-08 20:45Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
10-08 20:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.7099999949$7.00
10-08 20:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
10-08 20:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$1.00
10-08 20:43Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.153999988$1.00
10-08 20:43Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
10-08 20:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
10-04 11:48Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6199998946$2.00
10-04 11:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-04 11:36US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?SELL0.97$1.40