PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=EPWA&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.11 to 0.40. 25 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.302020
0.414565
0.482085
0.65590
0.70797
0.727104
0.7340144
0.748151
0.7538189
0.768198
0.7713211
0.7836247

Spread0.15Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.155858
0.14100158
0.1061219
0.09222440
0.07171611
0.06150761
0.05100861

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.855858
0.86100158
0.9061219
0.91222440
0.93171611
0.94150761
0.95100861

Spread0.15Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.702020
0.594565
0.522085
0.35590
0.30797
0.287104
0.2740144
0.268151
0.2538189
0.248198
0.2313211
0.2236247

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
lordZetYes40
justguy1Yes40
BilberryYes29
HaradwaithYes20
a5533Yes20
startrustttNo40
Z7dk3No40
OnlyLuckNoBrain2No38
ComicSansMSNo20
tribunalNo11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:01:43SELLYes0.1820$3.60
23:13:00BUYYes0.173793103429$5.04
18:28:00BUYYes0.27540$11.00
17:29:18BUYNo0.720$14.00
16:50:51BUYNo0.6220$12.40
14:59:19BUYNo0.6520$13.00
14:58:19BUYNo0.6520$13.00