lordZet
0x74e0d67f659766360e92152ea8c8a935ba89fabd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $915.2k
- Markets traded
- 867
- Open portfolio
- $306.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded867
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.427Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$3.1kat 0.405Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
- +$2.6kat 0.222Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$2.5kat 0.231Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?
- +$2.4kat 0.216Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-16 18:11 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 10-16 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.59 |
| 10-16 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-16 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.50 |
| 10-16 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.34 |
| 10-16 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.79 |
| 10-16 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $7.65 |
| 10-16 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.18 |
| 10-16 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 17? | BUY | 0.2197149533 | $7.52 |
| 10-16 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.11 |
| 10-16 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.016356974 | $0.28 |
| 10-16 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 17? | BUY | 0.3165 | $3.17 |
| 10-16 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.19 |
| 10-16 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 17? | BUY | 0.311 | $3.74 |