tribunal
0xa7d84cb0dbae65e3bf92ae28374463c0c89f798b
- Realised P&L
- $102.82
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 759
- Open portfolio
- $37.13
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded759
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? · No | 0.810 | 1.000 | $9.00 | +$1.71 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 3? · No | 0.780 | 0.820 | $8.20 | +$0.40 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 4? · No | 0.550 | 0.635 | $7.55 | +$1.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 3? · No | 0.520 | 0.450 | $6.74 | −$1.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 3? · No | 0.710 | 0.800 | $3.42 | +$0.38 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 2? · No | 0.550 | 1.000 | $2.22 | +$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 2? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.11at 0.400Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassone
- +$13.76at 0.390Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- +$10.08at 0.440Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 20?
- +$8.16at 0.490Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?
- +$8.16at 0.490Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 13°C on August 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 06:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.98 | $11.52 |
| 09-13 06:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.98 |
| 08-18 04:23 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 04:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 08-18 04:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.51 |
| 07-29 06:59 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.98 |
| 07-29 06:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 06:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 18? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.03 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.98 |
| 07-13 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |