PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-11-02T18:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.11 to 0.36. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6955
0.70611
0.902334
0.911044
0.942569
0.9750119
0.9920139

Spread0.67Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.023737
0.011047

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.983737
0.991047

Spread0.67Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3155
0.30611
0.102334
0.091044
0.062569
0.0350119
0.0120139

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HellYeahTraderYes70
Z7dk3Yes64
zoherYes47.05
dub2-CFYes5.26
KowalskiyYes5.06
a5533Yes2.51
gghffNo70
0xOlongNo35.72
OnlyLuckNoBrain2No26.1
NYKD-54No23
pppnnNo20
0xb496…f564No5.01
Welcome2026No5
sisan33No5
MyNameIsArturNeryNo2.51
HaradwaithNo1.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:52:06BUYNo0.983$2.46
18:40:34BUYNo0.955$4.75
18:26:51BUYNo0.975$4.85
15:30:19BUYNo0.839999992316$13.12
15:29:13BUYNo0.8420$16.88
09:28:27BUYNo0.8218$14.76
04:17:37BUYYes0.1950$9.50
04:17:36BUYYes0.18999999625$1.00
04:17:36BUYYes0.1770$11.90
23:58:10SELLNo0.770$0.04
23:58:09BUYNo0.85$4.01
23:58:09BUYNo0.85$4.05
22:03:31BUYYes0.212560384447$10.00
18:32:33BUYYes0.225$1.10
17:39:06BUYYes0.214210526319$4.07
17:39:04BUYYes0.2135$7.35
17:39:01BUYYes0.25$1.00