NYKD-54
0x7a4126074ece8dffeb2178f68d4ff0e8bf5a2562
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $565.5k
- Markets traded
- 5,694
- Open portfolio
- $530.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,694
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$488.74at 0.247Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 11?
- +$385.46at 0.366Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 27?
- +$355.56at 0.111Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 10?
- +$298.79at 0.002Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 16?
- +$270.07at 0.463Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:46 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.920791999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3235294003 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8712871166 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9579999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9699998448 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2871286981 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |