NYKD-54
0x7a4126074ece8dffeb2178f68d4ff0e8bf5a2562
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $486.6k
- Markets traded
- 4,700
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,700
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$481.37at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 11?
- +$380.75at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 27?
- +$350.10at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 10?
- +$298.79at 0.002Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 16?
- +$266.25at 0.471Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $294.76 |
| 08-04 17:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.62 | $43.40 |
| 08-04 17:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.985 | $24.63 |
| 08-04 17:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.03 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $89.90 |
| 08-04 16:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.987 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 16:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.56 |
| 08-04 16:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9543702451 | $33.87 |
| 08-04 16:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.96 |
| 08-04 16:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $140.14 |
| 08-04 16:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9777616533 | $96.28 |
| 08-04 16:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $37.64 |
| 08-04 16:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989099108 | $99.80 |
| 08-04 14:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $31.62 |