sisan33
0xe7e91d5d52b1524ddf6e83082d2d8b012a78fb3c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $834.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,817
- Open portfolio
- $868.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,817
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.53at 0.153Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?
- +$255.70at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?
- +$192.37at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$137.32at 0.416Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 27?
- +$129.94at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 10-04 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $95.70 |
| 10-04 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $58.02 |
| 10-04 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $19.72 |
| 10-04 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.57 | $17.97 |
| 10-04 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.58 | $20.53 |
| 10-04 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.59 | $22.02 |
| 10-04 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.59 | $18.29 |
| 10-04 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 10-04 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.955 | $12.12 |
| 10-04 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.939 | $23.47 |
| 10-04 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-04 09:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 10-04 09:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $34.92 |
| 10-04 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |