PolyBot

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Traders

0xOlong

0x2d3a52e4d14e87cb6bb542ce275c9b7d74479302

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$550.2k
Markets traded
5,594
Open portfolio
$462.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,594
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on November 2? · No0.8000.840$47.25+$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 2? · No0.8200.905$33.11+$3.11
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 1? · Yes0.8560.935$32.76+$2.76
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2? · No0.8880.945$31.91+$1.91
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2? · No0.8140.810$29.87−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2? · No0.8800.865$29.49−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on November 2? · No0.8340.815$29.30−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? · No0.8010.995$28.69+$5.59
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? · No0.8100.725$26.85−$3.15
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 2? · No0.8150.690$25.41−$4.59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? · No0.8020.790$24.14−$0.36
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 2? · Yes0.7430.580$23.41−$6.58
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 2? · No0.8400.655$23.40−$6.61
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on November 2? · Yes0.7510.535$21.36−$8.64
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 1? · No0.8900.675$20.40−$6.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:17Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.8799999979$16.80
11-01 23:12Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.88$13.20
11-01 22:42Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.8$4.45
11-01 22:36Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?BUY0.8$9.50
11-01 22:34Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on November 2?BUY0.8$45.00
11-01 22:33Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.832$5.50
11-01 22:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.81$4.05
11-01 22:23Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.8$16.00
11-01 22:09Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on November 2?BUY0.834437085$30.00
11-01 22:05Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 2?BUY0.7$0.99
11-01 22:04Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2?BUY0.7$4.20
11-01 21:07Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on November 1?BUY0.8$6.61
11-01 18:55Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 1?BUY0.6099999733$5.03
11-01 18:55Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 1?BUY0.6161697927$24.97
11-01 18:11Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.8099999542$13.80