PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 19?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-19
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.965. up 0.629 over the period, from 0.335. Range 0.190 to 1.000. 73 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999502502

Spread0.069Mid0.965

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9303030
0.3014676
0.3001793
0.08024117
0.0706123
0.06011134
0.04188222
0.040100322
0.030100422
0.0081,7362,158
0.0072172,375
0.0062532,627

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0703030
0.6994676
0.7001793
0.92024117
0.9306123
0.94011134
0.95988222
0.960100322
0.970100422
0.9921,7362,158
0.9932172,375
0.9942532,627

Spread0.069Mid0.036

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001502502

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OraculumNobiusYes500.5
UnknownCamer237Yes136.86
tradetosurvive1Yes50
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes45.03
0x567Yes40
gaaaydogggggYes39.1
0x948f67A0D66C1C196491B149923BCd4fa2510b98-1776679190697Yes26
HoangSon2Yes25.58
robert-mukhametovYes25.47
Mr.we4therYes25
DBCooperWeatherYes21.02
0x973Yes20
Tallguy2527Yes13.46
0x1455…b860Yes10
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes10
0x728743327541B8b57E9b8Bbe25C9E5a53fF35375-1780497866237Yes9.25
whhiskyYes8.97
ZZdddss332Yes5
bhuumiYes5
gabbyyyYes4.62

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:40:47BUYNo0.001498$0.50
05:40:41BUYNo0.00118$0.02
17:08:44SELLYes0.9994$4.25
16:31:36SELLYes0.9995$5.00
13:07:59SELLYes0.9936$36.01
09:28:41SELLYes0.9941$40.80
09:23:17SELLYes0.992$1.83
09:11:15SELLYes0.995$4.46
09:10:45SELLYes0.995$4.95
09:00:56BUYYes0.99948$47.87
08:38:30BUYYes0.99826$25.53
08:15:30BUYYes0.9979990121$1.00
07:54:48BUYYes0.9925$24.75
07:21:51BUYYes0.98827$26.27
07:19:47BUYYes0.96911$10.57
07:19:33SELLYes0.970179116761$59.09
07:03:17BUYYes0.985$4.42
07:02:05BUYYes0.985$4.90
07:02:05BUYYes0.971$1.00
07:02:05BUYYes0.970977620725$24.73
07:02:05BUYYes0.9726$25.22
05:26:48SELLNo0.03984251975$0.20
05:21:11BUYNo0.58016663965$2.95
04:07:12BUYYes0.846576073841$34.89
03:55:45BUYNo0.486454407614$6.86