OraculumNobius
0xd25b8718f61fb64a754356ad8cf16b5579f59f3d
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $29.07M
- Markets traded
- 25,508
- Open portfolio
- $155.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded25,508
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.932Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
- +$2.1kat 0.895Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$2.0kat 0.984Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.960S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?
- +$1.1kat 0.520Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $429.63 |
| 09-22 17:06 | Will Trump say "Magnificent" this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 09-22 16:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $216.16 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $388.57 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $438.62 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.02 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.79 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.84 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $494.01 |
| 09-22 14:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $358.64 |
| 09-22 14:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |