alphabuild
0x1c2c08fe03edffa5d884523e3d990beca91ba9c7
- Realised P&L
- $-67.83
- Volume
- $311.79
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $192.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.24at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on September 15?
- +$0.21at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on September 15?
- +$0.00at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on September 15?
- +$0.00at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-16 00:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-16 00:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 09-16 00:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-16 00:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-15 22:32 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-15 22:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-15 21:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-15 18:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 09-15 18:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 09-15 18:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-15 18:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-15 17:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-15 16:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-15 15:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |