PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 15?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-15
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.324 over the period, from 0.335. Range 0.011 to 0.335. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0211010
0.023515
0.0271328
0.031533
0.037841
0.039850
0.041555
0.046560
0.061565
0.067872
0.107577
0.1091087

Spread0.019Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002124124
0.00115139

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998124124
0.99915139

Spread0.019Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9791010
0.977515
0.9731328
0.969533
0.963841
0.961850
0.959555
0.954560
0.939565
0.933872
0.893577
0.8911087

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes146.27
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes31.35
EasonmengYes20
Enjoy-MeYes10
cra1Yes9.99
SincereSpine3255Yes6
v7HYes6
t3uYes6
ttj01Yes6
zhengxm1131Yes6
zhengxm1103Yes6
DapperBlade5204Yes6
zhengxm1129Yes6
HaradwaithYes5
neverhackmeYes1.68
0xa5ef…2966No123.63
MorraNo113.65
yellowppNo30
0x1fad…e1ffNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:10:54BUYNo0.99813$12.77
16:10:54BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:35:02BUYNo0.99799993114$13.98
11:35:02BUYNo0.99820$19.96
11:35:01BUYNo0.99813$12.77
08:11:14BUYNo0.9985$4.99
23:33:45SELLYes0.0020$0.00
22:01:46BUYNo0.986$5.88
22:01:46BUYNo0.9810$9.79
17:28:12BUYNo0.9780878048188$184.14
16:35:48BUYNo0.965$4.80
13:32:07BUYNo0.920$18.00
12:32:35BUYNo0.9410$9.40