PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rkot1

0x1faddb00a36999db1f7ceff0a360d9a47a56e1ff

Realised P&L
$-16.13
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
822
Open portfolio
$41.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded822
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 01:58Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.98$3.75
10-12 06:29Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13?BUY0.94$4.70
10-12 06:29Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 13?BUY0.93$4.65
10-12 06:29Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13?BUY0.97$4.85
10-12 01:22Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 13?BUY0.98$4.90
10-12 00:10Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13?BUY0.969$4.84
10-11 23:58Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.948$4.74
10-11 22:40Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.97$4.85
10-11 21:57Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 13?BUY0.94$4.70
10-11 15:08Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?BUY0.954$4.77
10-11 15:08Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 12?BUY0.98$4.90
10-06 23:45Will Peter G. Schultz win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?BUY0.95$4.75
10-06 16:35Will Stephen Lippard win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?BUY0.95$4.75
10-06 16:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7?BUY0.92$4.60
09-30 10:01Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 30?BUY0.929$4.65