rkot1
0x1faddb00a36999db1f7ceff0a360d9a47a56e1ff
- Realised P&L
- $-16.13
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 822
- Open portfolio
- $41.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded822
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 13? · No | 0.930 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.35 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13? · No | 0.969 | 0.985 | $4.92 | +$0.08 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12? · No | 0.954 | 0.976 | $4.88 | +$0.11 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 13? · No | 0.970 | 0.950 | $4.75 | −$0.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 13? · No | 0.980 | 0.931 | $4.66 | −$0.24 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13? · No | 0.970 | 0.930 | $4.65 | −$0.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13? · No | 0.940 | 0.890 | $4.45 | −$0.25 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 13? · No | 0.940 | 0.825 | $4.13 | −$0.57 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 14? · No | 0.980 | 0.975 | $3.73 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.64at 0.440Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$3.53at 0.729Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$1.80at 0.639Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
- +$1.77at 0.864Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
- +$1.44at 0.705Solana Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 01:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.75 |
| 10-12 06:29 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-12 06:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-12 06:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-12 01:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-12 00:10 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 10-11 23:58 | Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 10-11 22:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-11 21:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-11 15:08 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.954 | $4.77 |
| 10-11 15:08 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-06 23:45 | Will Peter G. Schultz win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-06 16:35 | Will Stephen Lippard win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-30 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.929 | $4.65 |