yellowpp
0x4ead1a933b40577854795bde2900d6612712f30c
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $54.1k
- Markets traded
- 871
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded871
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.61at 0.590Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 17?
- +$74.47at 0.627Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?
- +$66.14at 0.670Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 18?
- +$65.46at 0.651Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?
- +$64.74at 0.575Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 11-01 11:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.93 | $12.09 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9168545378 | $14.72 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.8833333333 | $53.00 |
| 11-01 10:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $79.17 |
| 11-01 10:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 11-01 06:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.46 |
| 11-01 06:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7864729449 | $5.53 |
| 11-01 06:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.28 |
| 11-01 06:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 11-01 06:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.78 |
| 11-01 06:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 11-01 06:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.96 |
| 11-01 06:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.62 |
| 11-01 06:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |