PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zhengxm1129

0xcff4d7c6c3fa4c1c72158798562884390f36cab0

Realised P&L
$80.00
Volume
$161.2k
Markets traded
12,170
Open portfolio
$40.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,170
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration2.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be 67°F or below on October 4? · Yes0.0200.470$2.82+$2.70
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 65°F or below on October 3? · Yes0.0200.465$2.79+$2.67
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C or below on October 3? · Yes0.0200.465$2.79+$2.67
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be -3°C or below on October 4? · Yes0.0200.461$2.76+$2.64
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on October 4? · Yes0.0200.461$2.76+$2.64
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on October 3? · No0.0200.460$2.76+$2.64
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on October 3? · Yes0.0200.456$2.74+$2.62
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 3? · Yes0.0200.345$2.07+$1.95
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 4? · Yes0.0200.225$1.35+$1.23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 3? · Yes0.0200.183$1.10+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3? · Yes0.0200.141$0.85+$0.73
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 3? · Yes0.0200.124$0.74+$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 3? · Yes0.0200.089$0.54+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 3? · Yes0.0200.064$0.38+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3? · Yes0.0200.060$0.36+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:59Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.999$5.99
09-30 10:44Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?SELL0.999$5.99
09-30 10:43Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30?SELL0.997$5.98
09-17 09:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17?SELL0.92$5.52
09-13 10:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?SELL0.999$5.99
09-10 08:16Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 10?SELL0.94$5.64
09-06 07:20Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 6?SELL0.94$5.64
08-26 23:31Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 27?SELL0.96$5.76
08-26 08:22Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?SELL0.979$5.87
08-22 03:16Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?SELL0.999$5.99
08-16 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL0.26$4.68
08-16 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSELL0.2418444444$4.35
08-16 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.24$0.00
08-16 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.28$5.03
08-16 09:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSELL0.2$3.60