zhengxm1131
0x4290f64e713b7541f03b34fcca704436a803c8c0
- Realised P&L
- $429.06
- Volume
- $218.6k
- Markets traded
- 13,313
- Open portfolio
- $58.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,313
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration2.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.85at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on August 31?
- +$35.25at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$28.05at 0.332Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$25.20at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$25.20at 0.370Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-30 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-30 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-30 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 09-22 06:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-21 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 09-15 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-15 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-13 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-10 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.9483333333 | $5.69 |
| 09-10 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-10 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-08 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.94 | $5.64 |
| 09-08 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.88 |