PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 17?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.034. down 0.186 over the period, from 0.220. Range 0.034 to 0.240. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03855
0.0391015
0.0401530
0.0742959
0.07560119
0.10945164
0.11014178
0.1205183
0.13540223
0.14113236
0.18461297
0.199121418

Spread0.008Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.030111111
0.02012123
0.01150173
0.010170342
0.001230572

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.970111111
0.98012123
0.98950173
0.990170342
0.999230572

Spread0.008Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96255
0.9611015
0.9601530
0.9262959
0.92560119
0.89145164
0.89014178
0.8805183
0.86540223
0.85913236
0.81661297
0.801121418

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x65f7…8b98Yes734.29
0xBda1F80e58996a6c3553d5280840deBE240D827F-1774954162919Yes606.2
Weather-GuruYes160
tetriaryYes115.42
fregdf12fYes110.82
arcoreYes100
philosophy8Yes96.82
hfvYes96.64
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes79.08
SoW-yiyiYes75.42
tradetosurvive1Yes63.4
yellowhpYes59.51
AMAM13Yes51
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes50.67
cityeventsYes43.24
Tallguy2527Yes35.34
raigothYes34.34
neverhackmeYes30
habash2Yes28
0x1455…b860Yes20.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:00:03BUYNo0.966140321259$57.15
18:11:57BUYNo0.9410$9.40
17:40:56BUYYes0.059999998817$1.00
17:26:15BUYNo0.953251082335$33.03
16:56:25BUYYes0.0858125848117$10.00
16:56:09BUYNo0.94772740$37.91
16:56:06BUYYes0.0864397623116$10.00
16:55:07BUYYes0.0833062026120$10.00
16:55:04BUYNo0.955523517449$46.73
16:55:03BUYNo0.9517540$38.07
16:54:51BUYYes0.0852105777117$10.00
16:54:46BUYNo0.9640$38.40
16:54:25BUYYes0.0732167745137$10.00
16:08:24BUYYes0.0520$1.00
14:35:03BUYYes0.0528$1.40
10:00:52BUYNo0.969999998110$10.00
10:00:49BUYNo0.9616$15.28
10:00:10BUYNo0.965$4.80
08:03:51BUYYes0.05725100$5.73
06:55:48BUYYes0.051642222797$5.00
06:36:33BUYNo0.96100$96.00
06:21:09BUYNo0.953$2.38
06:21:06BUYNo0.955$4.75
05:34:55BUYNo0.9565$61.75
05:01:34BUYNo0.9310$9.30