PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cityevents

0x1ca4bfd8f0a1d2f27ce4fdd0f385b217101d6aa2

Realised P&L
$-5.6k
Volume
$276.7k
Markets traded
2,918
Open portfolio
$455.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,918
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 25? · No0.6900.790$31.60+$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25? · Yes0.3920.465$30.23+$4.72
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27? · No0.7600.665$26.60−$3.80
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 27? · No0.7600.655$26.20−$4.20
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 26? · No0.8100.740$25.70−$2.43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 25? · Yes0.4890.590$24.19+$4.15
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? · No0.7180.710$23.10−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 25? · Yes0.6600.865$21.10+$5.00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 25? · No0.6901.000$19.99+$6.19
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 25? · No0.8000.840$16.80+$0.80
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26? · No0.7000.680$16.50−$0.49
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 26? · No0.6600.630$12.60−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25? · Yes0.4680.350$11.43−$3.87
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 26? · No0.6800.570$11.40−$2.20
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25? · No0.8100.545$10.90−$5.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 25?BUY0.5$2.50
09-25 07:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25?BUY0.49$2.45
09-25 07:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.29$1.45
09-25 06:01Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.39$1.95
09-25 05:13Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 24?SELL0.999$9.99
09-25 05:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 25?BUY0.35$1.75
09-25 05:03Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 25?BUY0.48$2.40
09-25 05:03Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25?BUY0.42$2.10
09-25 05:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25?BUY0.55$2.75
09-25 04:52Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 24?SELL0.999$19.98
09-25 04:23Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 24?SELL0.98$4.90
09-25 04:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25?BUY0.39$23.40
09-25 04:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.27$6.75
09-25 04:09Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25?BUY0.48$2.40
09-25 04:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25?BUY0.44$0.85