cityevents
0x1ca4bfd8f0a1d2f27ce4fdd0f385b217101d6aa2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $276.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,918
- Open portfolio
- $455.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,918
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.73at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 11?
- +$109.69at 0.124Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?
- +$102.70at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?
- +$101.67at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 4?
- +$93.29at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-25 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-25 05:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-25 04:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-25 04:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-25 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.39 | $23.40 |
| 09-25 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 09-25 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-25 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.85 |