philosophy8
0x28908d8e7367f8d1f606a04830cf46c1d04349eb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,180
- Open portfolio
- $72.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,180
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.07at 0.310Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-12?
- +$101.41at 0.269US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones
- +$86.43at 0.136Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Oleg Prihodko
- +$80.03at 0.392Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea
- +$79.35at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.027653805 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0516422227 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.2277227696 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |