arcore
0x4245e81be1b83794d447200788be3fe1d601a467
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $128.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,510
- Open portfolio
- $218.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,510
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.87at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?
- +$210.00at 0.003Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$194.17at 0.133Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 17?
- +$137.18at 0.414Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?
- +$112.62at 0.164Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-19 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 09-19 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 09-19 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.52 |
| 09-19 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.51 | $45.90 |
| 09-19 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.53 | $31.80 |
| 09-19 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.39 | $27.30 |
| 09-19 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.57 | $45.60 |
| 09-18 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.52 |
| 09-18 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-18 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.310625 | $9.94 |
| 09-18 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.302 | $1.51 |
| 09-18 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2982 | $14.91 |