PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arcore

0x4245e81be1b83794d447200788be3fe1d601a467

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$128.6k
Markets traded
1,510
Open portfolio
$218.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,510
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 14:40Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.05$0.50
09-19 14:39Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.006$1.20
09-19 14:39Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.03$0.18
09-19 11:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.04$2.52
09-19 08:30Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.51$45.90
09-19 08:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.53$31.80
09-19 08:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.39$27.30
09-19 08:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.28$1.60
09-18 15:14Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.57$45.60
09-18 14:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.69$5.52
09-18 08:25Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.23$4.60
09-18 07:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.310625$9.94
09-18 07:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.302$1.51
09-18 07:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.3$1.50
09-18 07:26Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.2982$14.91