arcore
0x4245e81be1b83794d447200788be3fe1d601a467
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $105.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,264
- Open portfolio
- $245.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,264
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.17at 0.003Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$138.48at 0.408Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?
- +$114.38at 0.160Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$101.87at 0.467Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?
- +$90.68at 0.143Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1856987382 | $2.80 |
| 08-04 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.27 | $16.20 |
| 08-04 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.529375 | $42.35 |
| 08-04 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2975 | $23.80 |
| 08-04 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.375432 | $37.54 |
| 08-04 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.459375 | $36.75 |
| 08-03 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4564285714 | $31.95 |
| 08-03 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3733333333 | $22.40 |
| 08-03 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $27.20 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $6.24 |
| 08-02 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 08-02 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $32.00 |
| 08-02 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $23.20 |
| 08-02 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |