PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBda1F80e58996a6c3553d5280840deBE240D827F-1774954162919

0xbda1f80e58996a6c3553d5280840debe240d827f

Realised P&L
$-802.15
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
984
Open portfolio
$172.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded984
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.1930.290$150.17+$50.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25? · Yes0.0230.042$22.00+$10.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 26? · Yes0.1300.080$0.62−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 22? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 15? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 9? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann · Yannick Hanfmann0.5400.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 8? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$600.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00−$40.00
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.2k
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 14? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$2.00
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard0.3800.000$0.00−$2.4k
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28? · Yes0.3390.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:13Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
09-25 06:13Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?BUY0.0241735662$1.00
09-25 06:13Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?BUY0.0239999998$1.00
09-25 06:13Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
09-25 06:13Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
09-24 20:25Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.1777337077$20.00
09-24 20:25Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.1638870118$10.00
09-24 20:25Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?BUY0.0308921282$5.00
09-24 20:25Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.1683168308$10.00
09-24 20:25Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?BUY0.0179259198$5.00
09-24 20:25Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.1681786247$20.00
09-24 20:24Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.16$10.00
09-24 20:20Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-24 19:27Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?SELL0.999$364.98
09-24 14:07Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.5472636598$10.00