0xBda1F80e58996a6c3553d5280840deBE240D827F-1774954162919
0xbda1f80e58996a6c3553d5280840debe240d827f
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 677
- Open portfolio
- $56.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded677
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.6kat 0.380Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$21.0kat 0.100Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$13.4kat 0.130Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$13.2kat 0.180Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$12.4kat 0.540Spread: Germany (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0067527156 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1976069795 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.0047804194 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0089472116 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0086889275 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4093450446 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0199064001 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1868203045 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $111.00 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.27 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1308579374 | $10.00 |