PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-06
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.32. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.12 to 0.45. 43 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3355
0.34105110
0.35218328
0.366334
0.375339
0.3811350
0.4832382
0.506388
0.526394
0.547401
0.567408
0.587415

Spread0.03Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.30142142
0.29213355
0.286360
0.2723383
0.2516399
0.2419418
0.2343461
0.1314475
0.1038513
0.0637549
0.0550599
0.04100699

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.70142142
0.71213355
0.726360
0.7323383
0.7516399
0.7619418
0.7743461
0.8714475
0.9038513
0.9437549
0.9550599
0.96100699

Spread0.03Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6755
0.66105110
0.65218328
0.646334
0.635339
0.6211350
0.5232382
0.506388
0.486394
0.467401
0.447408
0.427415

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x9506…1c4fYes712.5
BilberryYes118.05
arehovbrowYes85.5
tradetosurvive1Yes75.44
HoppySnoppyYes70
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes69.73
Weather-GuruYes65
sergiovrnYes46.77
Yuan1118Yes45.45
AMAM13Yes37.29
psysloYes36.65
physical-geographerYes36.2
JJCo2Yes27
WrongBy1DegreeYes25
TermostatingYes20
hoppydoppyYes19.44
Mikhail2026Yes19.23
0x3cef…23e0Yes17.86
0x4add…6fe5Yes17
0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857Yes16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:39:14BUYYes0.344$1.36
23:32:31SELLNo0.675$3.40
23:17:26BUYYes0.335$1.65
22:42:47BUYYes0.32999989443$1.00
22:24:53BUYYes0.329999976112$4.00
22:17:43BUYYes0.324$1.28
22:12:07BUYNo0.75$3.50
22:00:37BUYNo0.68999999422$1.20
22:00:35BUYNo0.65999995782$1.25
22:00:35BUYNo0.659999996210$6.90
22:00:35BUYNo0.665$3.30
22:00:35BUYNo0.659999980914$8.98
22:00:35BUYNo0.65999998843$2.28
22:00:35BUYNo0.65999992172$1.18
22:00:35BUYNo0.649070553913$8.45
22:00:35BUYNo0.652$1.27
22:00:35BUYNo0.65186$121.19
22:00:35BUYNo0.649999986519$12.06
22:00:34BUYNo0.643$1.76
22:00:34BUYNo0.63568306012$1.16
22:00:32BUYNo0.6338$23.98
21:57:49BUYYes0.37810943025$2.00
20:15:17SELLYes0.36141$50.75
19:49:01BUYYes0.374$1.48
19:40:29SELLYes0.363$0.92