0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857
0xcaf59289145789242a4af6b975997344229841ab
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $348.0k
- Markets traded
- 7,110
- Open portfolio
- $472.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,110
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.59at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?
- +$230.50at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19?
- +$220.42at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7?
- +$195.84at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?
- +$187.33at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.08 |
| 11-02 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5399999826 | $9.94 |
| 11-02 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5515302089 | $9.77 |
| 11-02 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 11-02 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.82 |
| 11-02 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.23 |
| 11-02 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 11-01 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1273869339 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 22:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.01 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2985014955 | $9.96 |
| 11-01 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4399999891 | $9.66 |
| 11-01 18:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4625 | $9.25 |
| 11-01 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.33 | $0.29 |
| 11-01 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.58 | $14.50 |
| 11-01 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.3299999948 | $14.62 |