PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857

0xcaf59289145789242a4af6b975997344229841ab

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$294.5k
Markets traded
4,892
Open portfolio
$348.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,892
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.2900.505$54.22+$23.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.2510.265$38.30+$1.97
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.3720.340$36.37$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19? · Yes0.2800.265$29.47$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.2620.190$27.00$10.25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7700.755$21.41$0.43
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.6300.580$20.31$1.75
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7820.769$17.69$0.29
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4770.379$16.69$4.32
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6200.495$16.66$4.21
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3100.085$11.72$31.03
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by September 30, 2026? · No0.5000.510$10.20+$0.20
Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? · No0.7900.765$9.88$0.32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1200.395$8.61+$6.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.4800.495$6.14+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:50Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?SELL0.999$9.48
09-17 20:11Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.58$6.09
09-17 20:10Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.12$0.60
09-17 19:46Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.48$4.56
09-17 19:37Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.35$3.39
09-17 19:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.26$5.20
09-17 19:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.25$28.45
09-17 19:15Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.24$3.60
09-17 19:13Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5SELL0.99$6.58
09-17 19:04Manchester City FC leading at halftime?SELL0.994$6.38
09-17 19:03Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.83$5.52
09-17 19:00Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?SELL0.999$8.90
09-17 18:58Manchester City FC leading at halftime?BUY0.86$5.52
09-17 18:46Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.29$31.13
09-17 18:44Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?BUY0.28$31.13