0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857
0xcaf59289145789242a4af6b975997344229841ab
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $294.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,892
- Open portfolio
- $348.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,892
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.59at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?
- +$230.50at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19?
- +$220.42at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7?
- +$195.84at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?
- +$187.33at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:50 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.48 |
| 09-17 20:11 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.58 | $6.09 |
| 09-17 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 19:46 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.56 |
| 09-17 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.39 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.25 | $28.45 |
| 09-17 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 09-17 19:13 | Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $6.58 |
| 09-17 19:04 | Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.994 | $6.38 |
| 09-17 19:03 | Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.83 | $5.52 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.90 |
| 09-17 18:58 | Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.52 |
| 09-17 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $31.13 |
| 09-17 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.28 | $31.13 |