PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 16?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.019 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.001 to 0.045. 61 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00112,03512,035
0.0021,20913,244
0.0031,38214,626
0.0048214,708
0.00512714,835
0.00654215,377
0.0078715,464
0.00814215,606
0.00914215,748
0.0108715,835
0.0118215,918
0.0128316,000

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99912,03512,035
0.9981,20913,244
0.9971,38214,626
0.9968214,708
0.99512714,835
0.99454215,377
0.9938715,464
0.99214215,606
0.99114215,748
0.9908715,835
0.9898215,918
0.9888316,000

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a95Yes4,536.12
hello.69Yes3,499.97
NotaForecasterYes1,316.67
Calimer0Yes999.98
0xeb1b…87c0Yes284.81
hello.67Yes212.91
t3uYes150
zhengxm1131Yes150
DapperBlade5204Yes150
F84.5Yes145
0x5533…51baYes127
aaghkddYes124.98
0xb123…8e0eYes112.3
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes104.79
v7HYes100
zhengxm1129Yes100
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes99.99
nexvsYes99
Trufa-NegraYes80.25
PythiaWPDYes79.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:31:16SELLNo0.99939$38.96
09:00:34SELLNo0.999398$397.38
08:25:48SELLNo0.99949$49.06
08:13:33SELLNo0.999186$185.45
08:05:09SELLNo0.999420$419.58
08:01:36SELLNo0.99921$20.60
08:00:13SELLNo0.999202$201.80
08:00:01BUYNo0.99922$22.00
07:59:58BUYNo0.9996$5.99
07:59:58BUYNo0.9996$5.99
07:59:58BUYNo0.9998$7.99
07:59:58BUYNo0.9996$5.99
07:59:58BUYNo0.9996$5.99
07:59:57BUYNo0.9996$5.99
07:59:57BUYNo0.9996$5.99
07:59:33BUYNo0.999100$99.90
07:59:33BUYNo0.999100$99.90
07:58:18BUYNo0.99920$20.00
07:57:25BUYNo0.99950$49.95
07:57:18BUYNo0.999150$149.85
07:55:06BUYNo0.99920$20.00
07:51:54BUYNo0.99920$20.00
07:50:06BUYNo0.99984$83.92
07:48:39BUYNo0.99920$20.00
07:47:51SELLYes0.00182$0.08