0xb123e75212e81277b38aa4ed100f0f0379958e0e
- Realised P&L
- $-312.19
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.39at 0.728Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 14?
- +$88.84at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?
- +$32.43at 0.849Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?
- +$28.70at 0.864Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 30?
- +$24.44at 0.957Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3645320023 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3365744149 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.029576124 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.981257 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9863357625 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9894741645 | $140.00 |
| 08-06 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |