0xb123e75212e81277b38aa4ed100f0f0379958e0e
0xb123e75212e81277b38aa4ed100f0f0379958e0e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $95.0k
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.31at 0.503Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 5?
- +$118.64at 0.655Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25?
- +$111.13at 0.738Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 14?
- +$83.93at 0.783Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?
- +$69.90at 0.425Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $171.09 |
| 10-01 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8874505168 | $191.45 |
| 10-01 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9364529915 | $109.57 |
| 10-01 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9081526309 | $142.56 |
| 10-01 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8750913192 | $197.88 |
| 10-01 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9301806543 | $45.77 |
| 09-30 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.0014282378 | $0.17 |
| 09-30 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 09-30 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.08 |
| 09-30 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.76 | $229.95 |
| 09-30 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.7422990068 | $229.44 |
| 09-30 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.68 |