PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 16?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.18 to 0.31. 18 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.281010
0.312030
0.32838
0.33846
0.354692
0.3813105
0.4085190
0.4145235
0.4350285
0.4413298
0.4520318
0.4630348

Spread0.01Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.27113113
0.2665178
0.2580,16380,341
0.243,35683,697
0.234583,742
0.20683,748
0.155383,801
0.145583,856
0.1219284,048
0.111684,064
0.109584,159
0.0930084,459

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.73113113
0.7465178
0.7580,16380,341
0.763,35683,697
0.774583,742
0.80683,748
0.855383,801
0.865583,856
0.8819284,048
0.891684,064
0.909584,159
0.9130084,459

Spread0.01Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.721010
0.692030
0.68838
0.67846
0.654692
0.6213105
0.6085190
0.5945235
0.5750285
0.5613298
0.5520318
0.5430348

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OutOfMemoryYes607.98
lucikdemonYes217.82
tradetosurvive1Yes150
Weather-GuruYes102
yueyueynYes62.52
uranustradesYes34.72
LongTryYes28.74
yellowhpYes26.25
m7dk2Yes20
0x2df1…59daYes17.85
Alcaraz2026Yes16
jianghai01Yes15.99
donthackmeYes11
hunt111Yes10.71
Numero8Yes6.21
0xabc1…d8f5Yes5
0x58d0…fe47Yes3.57
0x8Da6810CD6C13514aD04e33384Fb95656CEEF9bC-1786341876263Yes3.57
weatherwhatYes1.77
0xa5ef…2966No683.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:10:15SELLNo0.7213$9.71
21:10:09BUYYes0.287$2.03
21:09:55BUYNo0.7321$15.33
21:07:18BUYNo0.735$3.65
21:07:10BUYNo0.72999990873$2.00
21:07:10BUYYes0.27999998716$1.74
21:07:09BUYYes0.27999996647$2.00
21:07:09BUYNo0.75999998483$2.00
21:07:09BUYYes0.27999996644$1.00
21:07:09BUYNo0.754072974413$10.00
21:07:07BUYNo0.733807603532$23.25
21:07:07BUYNo0.729999987614$10.00
21:07:06BUYYes0.2732$8.68
21:07:06BUYYes0.2568025098608$156.13
21:07:06BUYNo0.72999992212$1.50
21:07:06BUYYes0.2516$4.00
21:07:06BUYYes0.2703837869134$36.28
21:07:06BUYYes0.2718$4.82
21:07:06BUYYes0.2316271709450$104.28
19:10:09BUYYes0.2232$7.04
18:32:40BUYNo0.795$3.95
18:01:06BUYNo0.7170989344541$387.63
18:01:06BUYNo0.775$3.85
17:53:12BUYNo0.714$2.84
17:36:33BUYNo0.6910$6.90