PolyBot

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Traders

Numero8

0xee2a679db53c99da4834b9a0d5193fa4de43729b

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$658.2k
Markets traded
21,010
Open portfolio
$303.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded21,010
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0660.082$66.34+$12.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.3020.330$24.30+$2.09
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 18? · No0.7540.815$20.77+$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? · Yes0.2110.325$16.34+$5.74
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.4860.495$12.76+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.2400.180$11.98$4.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? · Yes0.2651.000$7.26+$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.4800.355$7.25$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.2100.220$7.14+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes0.4600.430$6.59$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.3331.000$5.90+$3.93
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.2600.480$5.48+$2.51
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.5300.755$5.38+$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17? · Yes0.1931.000$5.25+$4.24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.7500.580$5.00$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:43Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.2699999576$1.40
09-18 01:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.2299999693$1.20
09-18 01:36Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.4699999796$3.00
09-18 01:30Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.2270959504$3.91
09-18 01:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-18 01:20Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 19?BUY0.2099999984$3.96
09-18 01:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.2099999966$6.82
09-18 00:40Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.5499999653$4.76
09-18 00:35Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.243872549$1.99
09-18 00:24Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?BUY0.2099999809$1.54
09-18 00:16Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 19?BUY0.309999986$2.88
09-18 00:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.3099999793$2.40
09-17 23:59Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?SELL0.98$7.84
09-17 23:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?SELL0.98$6.37
09-17 23:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.4599999987$7.05