PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8Da6810CD6C13514aD04e33384Fb95656CEEF9bC-1786341876263

0x8da6810cd6c13514ad04e33384fb95656ceef9bc

Realised P&L
$13.76
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
779
Open portfolio
$33.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded779
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14? · Yes0.2700.992$3.67+$2.67
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15? · Yes0.2900.940$3.24+$2.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14? · Yes0.2700.993$2.93+$2.13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14? · Yes0.3601.000$2.78+$1.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.3601.000$2.02+$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 15? · Yes0.3400.635$1.87+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15? · Yes0.3300.540$1.64+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15? · Yes0.3400.520$1.53+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16? · Yes0.3500.385$1.10+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 15? · Yes0.3300.350$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16? · Yes0.3400.345$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15? · Yes0.2900.290$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15? · Yes0.3200.315$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 16? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 15? · Yes0.3100.285$0.92−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 23:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-14 22:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 15?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-14 21:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 16?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-14 17:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.32$1.00
10-14 15:03Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-14 14:28Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-14 14:11Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-14 13:39Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-14 13:16Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-14 12:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 15?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-14 11:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-14 11:54Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 15?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-14 10:48Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 15?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-14 10:16Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 15?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-14 09:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?BUY0.3099999473$1.00