PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 23?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-23
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KORD&format=raw&date=2026-10-24T05:00:00Z&hours=27
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.57. up 0.31 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.26 to 0.58. 17 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.582020
0.60166186
0.61185370
0.6215385
0.6386471
0.6453523
0.6559582
0.6626608
0.6793701
0.686707
0.7012719
0.727726

Spread0.01Mid0.57

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.57201201
0.56160361
0.5515,54715,908
0.541315,921
0.531015,931
0.521115,942
0.51515,947
0.503615,983
0.496116,044
0.432016,064
0.422516,089
0.242016,109

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.43201201
0.44160361
0.4515,54715,908
0.461315,921
0.471015,931
0.481115,942
0.49515,947
0.503615,983
0.516116,044
0.572016,064
0.582516,089
0.762016,109

Spread0.01Mid0.42

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.422020
0.40166186
0.39185370
0.3815385
0.3786471
0.3653523
0.3559582
0.3426608
0.3393701
0.326707
0.3012719
0.287726

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xeb1b…87c0Yes322.75
ThermomenalYes38.52
OutOfMemoryYes31.65
hfvYes22.95
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes22.12
TinaGoatYes20
mashuuuuYes18.1
risto-test1Yes16.66
jameslamYes16.12
LornaPredictsYes15
PoligarchYes11.65
ZephyyrYes10.24
whhiskyYes10.2
0x3cef…23e0Yes9
dami-1Yes5
0x0A07438aEa1634238983B6555805A6D58D0DaD7e-1774574257993Yes3.67
goosen8orYes3
hansonjcYes1.64
0xa5ef…2966No113.94
fregdf12fNo94.7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:26:15BUYNo0.435$2.15
05:00:36BUYYes0.603796526116$9.73
03:11:44BUYNo0.415$2.05
03:11:42BUYNo0.39510$3.95
02:33:11BUYNo0.3913$4.93
02:31:47SELLNo0.3613$4.50
02:30:38SELLNo0.37820813$4.73
02:04:44BUYNo0.4112$5.00
02:03:35SELLNo0.3925$9.75
01:45:50BUYYes0.60999985972$1.00
01:45:36BUYYes0.60051187632$1.00
01:45:33BUYYes0.5034199726183$92.00
01:45:33BUYYes0.577962221532$18.29
01:45:33BUYYes0.5517$9.16
01:45:33BUYYes0.5439$20.80
00:01:50BUYYes0.509999971610$5.20
00:01:47BUYYes0.5110$5.22
19:14:54BUYYes0.52$1.00
19:14:53BUYYes0.4920$9.80
19:14:51BUYYes0.4485714286140$62.80
19:14:51BUYYes0.59$4.50
19:14:51BUYYes0.53$1.50
19:14:50BUYYes0.495$2.45
18:08:23SELLNo0.555$2.79
13:08:51BUYNo0.59999996075$3.05