PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 15?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-15
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 1.000. up 0.804 over the period, from 0.195. Range 0.130 to 1.000. 64 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9992,8132,813
0.995562,869
0.992602,929
0.9915773,506
0.9901923,697
0.9871163,813
0.982303,843
0.980263,868
0.770603,928
0.769603,988
0.7683524,340
0.767604,400

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0012,8132,813
0.005562,869
0.008602,929
0.0095773,506
0.0101923,697
0.0131163,813
0.018303,843
0.020263,868
0.230603,928
0.231603,988
0.2323524,340
0.233604,400

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xeb1b…87c0Yes666.18
bibibobo67Yes456.8
0xb1625Df4b56d991c0fF67A3E3d27D817c7BF9DA7-1768507922496Yes369.79
LuckProYes146.43
SunWhispererYes140.3
hello.67Yes138.37
sleeper-serviceYes107.4
0x4766d1FC6E3bA06a292cB11eB0C06f9F60B76E4B-1774272391078Yes100
efficient-market-enforcerYes94.25
qualitycontrolYes75
0x3970ceYes73.14
meiyitinghuoumaYes72.77
241532532432Yes70
0xaBa743A752406e6eD8e992C7A3F8E2217C6A85Ed-1781935786053Yes67.5
PoligarchYes62.12
nexvsYes60.69
SimTradeYes57.47
vincent666888Yes54.69
FnarckPalloinYes50
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes47.8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:18:45SELLYes0.99931$30.97
22:10:33SELLYes0.99982$81.69
19:47:28SELLYes0.99628$27.89
18:49:05SELLYes0.995001302761$61.10
18:49:05SELLYes0.9954$4.20
18:49:05SELLYes0.9958$7.49
18:33:35SELLYes0.9994$4.14
17:41:50SELLYes0.9997$7.48
17:41:50SELLYes0.9991$0.51
17:30:08SELLYes0.9995$5.25
17:30:05SELLYes0.9995$5.25
17:06:38SELLYes0.9994$4.17
17:06:38SELLYes0.9997$7.37
17:06:38SELLYes0.99961$60.71
16:14:46SELLYes0.9995$5.00
15:37:13SELLYes0.99980$79.92
15:24:52SELLYes0.999103$103.02
15:24:35BUYYes0.999314$313.36
15:15:07BUYYes0.99950$49.95
15:08:46BUYYes0.99940$39.96
14:44:52SELLYes0.9963$3.40
14:44:52SELLYes0.9966$6.00
14:44:52SELLYes0.99650$49.43
14:42:19SELLYes0.99610$9.96
14:26:52SELLYes0.99616$15.74