0xaBa743A752406e6eD8e992C7A3F8E2217C6A85Ed-1781935786053
0xaba743a752406e6ed8e992c7a3f8e2217c6a85ed
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $130.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,576
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,576
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.51at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?
- +$195.60at 0.742Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?
- +$156.34at 0.499Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?
- +$143.32at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 18?
- +$127.63at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 11-01 23:33 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 11-01 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 11-01 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.105 | $0.60 |
| 11-01 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 11-01 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.69 | $11.04 |
| 11-01 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $17.14 |
| 11-01 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.86 | $38.70 |
| 11-01 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 11-01 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |