SunWhisperer
0x85dbcb1712ca38c639559351ad31127c472e1423
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $227.1k
- Markets traded
- 638
- Open portfolio
- $539.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded638
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.998 | $399.00 | +$7.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $97.21 | +$2.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? · No | 0.991 | 1.000 | $43.56 | +$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 30? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.20at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11?
- +$123.19at 0.921Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 27?
- +$116.11at 0.874Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?
- +$112.48at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 4?
- +$111.61at 0.708Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $242.55 |
| 08-04 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.948205 | $75.86 |
| 08-04 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.85 |
| 08-04 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 08-04 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 08-04 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.51 |
| 08-04 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.936638 | $93.66 |
| 08-04 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 08-04 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 08-04 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 08-04 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.74 |
| 08-04 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $504.84 |
| 08-03 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $15.83 |
| 08-03 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |