FnarckPalloin
0xae5b6ac72d429e5df44fd68f946a52140b88ab1b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 9,043
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,043
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.40at 0.806US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$123.30at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
- +$119.50at 0.760US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$79.23at 0.273Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$65.56at 0.357Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 11-01 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.82 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.954 | $33.39 |
| 11-01 22:00 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.82 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.79 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.25 |
| 11-01 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.06 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.95 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $330.78 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.80 |
| 11-01 20:51 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 11-01 20:49 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.89 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |