FnarckPalloin
0xae5b6ac72d429e5df44fd68f946a52140b88ab1b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 6,607
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,607
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.13at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 4?
- +$423.44at 0.778Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 6?
- +$401.40at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 5?
- +$373.56at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 3?
- +$350.50at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C or higher on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-17 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-17 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-17 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-16 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.84 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-16 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.76 |
| 09-16 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.54 |
| 09-16 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 09-16 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $111.68 |