0xb1625Df4b56d991c0fF67A3E3d27D817c7BF9DA7-1768507922496
0xb1625df4b56d991c0ff67a3e3d27d817c7bf9da7
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 6,754
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,754
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.36at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?
- +$52.06at 0.317Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 31?
- +$38.65at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 11?
- +$35.10at 0.051Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 11?
- +$33.36at 0.972Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9983346873 | $353.92 |
| 10-12 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $664.89 |
| 10-12 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $570.90 |
| 10-12 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $14.39 |
| 10-12 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9988922809 | $442.05 |
| 10-12 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $162.84 |
| 10-12 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.96 |
| 10-12 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.56 |
| 10-12 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $283.37 |
| 10-12 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.56 |
| 10-12 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $191.51 |
| 10-12 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.35 |
| 10-12 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.09 |
| 10-12 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.996 | $184.24 |
| 10-12 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $153.47 |