PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4766d1FC6E3bA06a292cB11eB0C06f9F60B76E4B-1774272391078

0x4766d1fc6e3ba06a292cb11eb0c06f9f60b76e4b

Realised P&L
$78.47
Volume
$888.0k
Markets traded
8,330
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 1? · No0.9991.000$249.88+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1? · Yes0.9991.000$249.87+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? · Yes0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30? · Yes0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? · No0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 31? · No0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? · Yes0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30? · No0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1? · Yes0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31? · No0.9991.000$99.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1? · No0.9990.998$99.80−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? · Yes0.9990.997$99.65−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? · Yes0.9991.000$95.94+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 1? · No0.9991.000$42.22+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1? · No0.9991.000$22.87+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 22:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 1?BUY0.999$42.20
11-01 21:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 20:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 16:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?BUY0.999$41.24
11-01 16:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 15:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1?BUY0.997999994$99.90
11-01 14:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 14:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1?BUY0.999$67.42
11-01 13:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?BUY0.999$99.90
11-01 11:56Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 1?BUY0.9987411084$193.20
11-01 11:41Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 1?BUY0.9987649347$249.75
11-01 11:30Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 1?BUY0.999$5.64
11-01 10:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?BUY0.999$0.40