0x4766d1FC6E3bA06a292cB11eB0C06f9F60B76E4B-1774272391078
0x4766d1fc6e3ba06a292cb11eb0c06f9f60b76e4b
- Realised P&L
- $25.30
- Volume
- $167.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,903
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,903
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.28at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?
- +$10.61at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
- +$9.91at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 23?
- +$7.03at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?
- +$2.16at 0.989Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.74 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.9979999973 | $149.85 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.63 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.88 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-02 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-02 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.85 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.71 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |