0x4766d1FC6E3bA06a292cB11eB0C06f9F60B76E4B-1774272391078
0x4766d1fc6e3ba06a292cb11eb0c06f9f60b76e4b
- Realised P&L
- $635.93
- Volume
- $630.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,974
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,974
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.28at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?
- +$10.61at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
- +$9.46at 0.927Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 23?
- +$6.77at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?
- +$5.16at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 09-16 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 09-16 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.31 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $266.49 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $197.76 |
| 09-16 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $165.91 |
| 09-16 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $249.48 |
| 09-16 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $108.90 |
| 09-16 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 09-16 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.24 |
| 09-16 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-16 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.47 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.993 | $95.33 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.988 | $33.87 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.09 |