0x4766d1FC6E3bA06a292cB11eB0C06f9F60B76E4B-1774272391078
0x4766d1fc6e3ba06a292cb11eb0c06f9f60b76e4b
- Realised P&L
- $78.47
- Volume
- $888.0k
- Markets traded
- 8,330
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,330
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.28at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?
- +$10.61at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
- +$9.46at 0.927Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 23?
- +$6.77at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?
- +$5.16at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.20 |
| 11-01 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.24 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.997999994 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.42 |
| 11-01 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 11-01 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9987411084 | $193.20 |
| 11-01 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9987649347 | $249.75 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.64 |
| 11-01 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.40 |