PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4766d1FC6E3bA06a292cB11eB0C06f9F60B76E4B-1774272391078

0x4766d1fc6e3ba06a292cb11eb0c06f9f60b76e4b

Realised P&L
$25.30
Volume
$167.6k
Markets traded
2,903
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,903
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? · Yes0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? · Yes0.9991.000$154.92+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$151.82+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? · No0.9971.000$150.23+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2? · Yes0.9981.000$150.08+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31? · No0.9991.000$149.98+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$132.80+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31? · No0.9991.000$119.94+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31? · No0.9991.000$119.94+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2?BUY0.999$132.74
08-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?BUY0.9979999973$149.85
08-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?BUY0.997$149.85
08-02 23:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-02 23:11Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2?BUY0.999$5.63
08-02 23:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?BUY0.999$116.88
08-02 17:46Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2?BUY0.999$7.99
08-02 17:17Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 2?BUY0.999$49.95
08-02 17:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2?BUY0.999$51.85
08-02 17:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-02 17:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-02 17:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-02 17:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?BUY0.999$93.71
08-02 17:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85